The most recent polls continue to point towards a change in government. 

Surveys by Newshub-Reid Research and 1News-Verian both pick a National-New Zealand First-ACT coalition as the likely winners on Saturday. 

Former MP and political commentator Peter Dunne told Mike Hosking that there's no clear path to power for the centre left, and National's path increasingly relies on Winston Peters' party.  

He says there'd have to be a big surge in Labour votes to alter that, and the way the polls have been tracking all year it won't move more than one percent, which won't be enough. 

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